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Third-quarter earnings confirmed
the worst-case scenario — plunging oil prices are whacking almost the entire industrial sector. The theme is hardly new, as the pattern of our headlines has revealed over the past fifteen or so months:
Columnist Brian Langenberg provides a current outlook update, key findings
from a recent energy sector conference, and takes another look at education and employment.
Our last installment called out the likely headwinds from both the C.R.A.P. currencies (Canada, Russia, Australia and Latin America) and also weather impact. As companies start reporting in the coming weeks, expect first quarter results to be mildly impacted. This issue we take a closer look at China.
Since our last appearance in this space we've attended the Paris Air Show and met with companies involved in oil production, hydraulic fracturing and wind turbine towers and components. As an investment analyst I am always seeking to help my clients anticipate change in order to manage risk and capture alpha (positive returns relative to market). But as a regular columnist for Power Transmission Engineering, I also seek insights that can help your organization do the same. Here is what we've found...
We have just returned from the Electrical Products Group Conference in
Sarasota, Florida. This is our favorite
venue because it allows us to speak
with the CEOs of nearly 25 global industrial companies that include General Electric, United Technologies,
Honeywell, ABB and Emerson, with
combined revenue of perhaps $500 billion.
Our April 2012 launch of this column
highlighted several key themes; we
will re-state each and highlight developments, relying on our monitoring of 75 key global industrial companies and
ongoing fieldwork.